【OG24-627题】 In Country X's last election,the Reform Party beat its main opponent,the Conservative Party, although pollsters, employing in-person interviews shortly before the vote,had projected a Conservative Party victory.Afterwards, the pollsters determined that, unlike Conservative Party supporters,Reform Party supporters were less likely to express their party preference during in-person interviews than they were during telephone interviews.Therefore,using only telephone interviews instead would likely result in more accurate projections for the next election. Which of the following statements, if true,would most support the argument in the passage?_mofa留学圈mofaGRE在线题库系统_GRE在线搜题_GRE题库解析_GRE真题机经_GRE课程_GRE培训机构

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In Country X's last election,the Reform Party beat its main opponent,the Conservative Party, although pollsters, employing in-person interviews shortly before the vote,had projected a Conservative Party victory.Afterwards, the pollsters determined that, unlike Conservative Party supporters,Reform Party supporters were less likely to express their party preference during in-person interviews than they were during telephone interviews.Therefore,using only telephone interviews instead would likely result in more accurate projections for the next election.

Which of the following statements, if true,would most support the argument in the passage?

The number of voters in Country X's next election will be significantly larger than the number of voters in the last election. The Conservative Party will win the next election. For each person interviewed in telephone polls before the next election, pollsters will be able to reasonably determine the likelihood of that person voting. People who expressed no party preference during the in-person interviews shortly before Country X's last election did not outnumber the people who expressed a preference for the Conservative Party. In the next election, pollsters will be able to conduct more in-person interviews than telephone interviews.

正确答案： C

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题干翻译
在投票前不久的访谈预测保守党胜利。之后，民意调查员确定，与保守党支持者不同，改革党支持者在面对面访谈中表达党派偏好的可能性低于电话访谈。因此，仅使用电话访谈可能会为下一次选举带来更准确的预测。 逻辑链
面访结果不准→电话访谈更准 问题类型
增强题 推理过程
因为改革党支持者在面访和电话访谈中表达党派偏好的情况不同，导致面访预测可能不准确，所以提出仅用电话访谈能让下次选举预测更准确。要增强此论点，需说明电话访谈在预测方面有优势。 选项分析
A选项：下次选举选民数量比上次多很多。选民数量与电话访谈能否带来更准确预测无关，排除。 B选项：保守党将赢得下次选举。这与电话访谈是否能使预测更准确没有联系，排除。 C选项：在下次选举前的电话民意调查中，民意调查员能够合理确定每个接受访谈的人投票的可能性。补充了电话访谈能更准确预测的原因，增强了论点，当选。 D选项：上次选举前不久面对面访谈中未表达党派偏好的人没有表达支持保守党的人多。说的是上次面访中不同人群数量对比，与电话访谈能否让下次预测更准确无关，排除。 E选项：下次选举中，民意调查员能进行的面对面访谈比电话访谈多。访谈数量多少与电话访谈预测的准确性无关，排除。

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