【OG24-789题】In the country of Marut, the Foreign Trade Agency’s records were reviewed in 1994 in light of information then newly available about neighboring Goro. The review revealed that in every year since 1963, the agency’s projection of what Goro's gross national product (GNP) would be five years later was a serious underestimate. The review also revealed that in every year since 1963, the agency estimated Goro’s GNP for the previous year—a Goro state secret—very accurately.Of the following claims, which is most strongly supported by the statements given?_mofa留学圈mofaGRE在线题库系统_GRE在线搜题_GRE题库解析_GRE真题机经_GRE课程_GRE培训机构

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In the country of Marut, the Foreign Trade Agency’s records were reviewed in 1994 in light of information then newly available about neighboring Goro. The review revealed that in every year since 1963, the agency’s projection of what Goro's gross national product (GNP) would be five years later was a serious underestimate. The review also revealed that in every year since 1963, the agency estimated Goro’s GNP for the previous year—a Goro state secret—very accurately.

Of the following claims, which is most strongly supported by the statements given?

Goro's GNP fluctuated greatly between 1963 and 1994. Prior to 1995，Goro had not released data intended to mislead the agency in making its five-year projections. The amount by which the agency underestimated the GNP it projected for Goro tended to increase over time. Even before the new information came to light, the agency had reason to think that at least some of the five-yearprojections it had made were inaccurate. The agency's five-year projections of Goro's GNP had no impact on economic planning in Marut.

正确答案： D

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题干翻译
关于邻国戈罗的新信息现已可得。该审查显示，自1963年以来的每一年，该机构对戈罗五年后的国民生产总值（GNP）的预测都是严重低估。审查还显示，自1963年以来的每一年，该机构对戈罗上一年的GNP（戈罗的国家机密）的估计都非常准确。 逻辑链
1963 now: projection underestimate, previous year estimate accurate 问题类型
推理题（根据给定陈述找出最有力支持的主张） 推理过程
因为机构对戈罗上一年GNP估计准确，却对五年后的GNP预测严重低估，说明即使在新信息曝光前，机构也有理由认为其部分五年预测是不准确的。 选项分析
A选项：文中未提及1963 1994年戈罗GNP波动情况，排除。 B选项：文中没有关于戈罗是否发布误导数据的信息，排除。 C选项：文中未表明低估的量随时间增加，排除。 D选项：符合推理过程，即使没有新信息，基于之前预测和估计情况，机构就有理由认为部分五年预测不准确，当选。 E选项：文中未讨论对Marut经济规划的影响，排除。

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