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Arboria is floundering in the global marketplace, incurring devastating losses in market position and profits. The problem is not Arboria's products, but Arboria's trade policy. Arboria faces the prospect of continuing economic loss until Arborian business and political leaders recognize the fundamental differences between Arborian and foreign economic systems. Today the key trade issue is not free trade versus protectionism but diminishing trade versus expanding trade.


Arboria is operating with an obsolete trade policy, an artifact of the mid-1940s when Arboria and Whorfland dominated the global economy, tariffs were the principal obstacle to trade, and Arborian supremacy was uncontested in virtually all industries. In the intervening decades, economic circumstances have shifted radically. Arborian trade policy has not.


Today, Arboria's trade policy seems paralyzed by the relentless conflict between proponents of “free” and “fair” trade. The free traders argue that Arborian markets should be open, and the movement of goods and services across national borders unrestrained. The fair traders assert that access to Arborian markets should be restricted until Arborian businesses are granted equal access to foreign markets. They contend that free trade is impossible while other nations erect barriers to Arborian exports.


Both are correct: fair trade requires equal access and equal access leads to free trade. But both sides base their positions on the same two outdated premises:

1. Global commerce is conducted under the terms of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) and dominated by Arboria and similar economic systems abroad.

2. Multilateral negotiations are the most effective way to resolve pressing trade issues.


Both assumptions are wrong. The 40-year-old GATT now covers less than 7 percent of global commerce. World trade is no longer dominated by the free-trade economies; nearly 75 percent is conducted by economic systems operating with principles at odds with those of Arboria. Forging a multilateral trade policy consensus among so many diverse economic systems has become virtually impossible. And while multilateral talks drag on, Arboria misses opportunities for trade expansion.


It can be inferred that the author of the passage would most likely agree with which of the following statements about multilateral trade negotiations?


正确答案: D

参考解析

提交我的解析
    文章大意逻辑
    文章开篇指出Arboria在全球市场表现糟糕,问题出在贸易政策上。接着说明其贸易政策过时,源于20世纪40年代中期,当时Arboria和Whorfland主导全球经济。如今其贸易政策因“自由贸易”和“公平贸易”支持者的冲突而陷入瘫痪。最后表明双方观点虽都有道理,但都基于两个过时前提。 文章类型及逻辑简图
    文章类型为问题分析型。 逻辑简图: Arboria's problem:floundering in global marketplace due to trade policy Old fashioned trade policy:from mid 1940s, economic circumstances changed but policy not Paralyzed by conflict:between “free” and “fair” trade proponents Outdated premises:both sides base on two outdated premises 做题方法及问题类型
    本题为推断题,需根据文章对Arboria贸易政策的阐述,推断作者对多边贸易谈判的看法,定位到文章中关于Arboria贸易政策现状及问题的相关表述。 选项分析
    A选项:文章未提及多边贸易谈判是解决贸易问题最有效的方式,无中生有,排除。 B选项:文章没有提到多边贸易谈判在处理国家间公平贸易问题上最有效,无依据,排除。 C选项:文中未表明多边贸易谈判最近才对世界贸易产生影响,排除。 D选项:文章强调Arboria贸易政策过时,结合其过去依赖多边贸易谈判,可推断出过去适用的依赖在如今的全球市场不足够了,该项符合,当选。 E选项:文章没有提及多边贸易谈判原则与Arboria现行外贸政策不相容,排除。

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