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最新题目

题目内容

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纠错
  • Credit Discussion
  • Loans Table
  • Interest Rates
Credit in developing countries can be granted through formal or informal channels. Formal channels include institutions such as banks, credit cooperatives, and government agencies. Loans of this type accrue positive interest and are typically court enforced. Informal credit channels include relatives, friends, community members, moneylenders, rotating savings and credit associations, and informal intermediaries. Loans such as these may or may not accrue positive interest. Loans of either type may be used by the borrower for consumption or investment in a business.In 1930s rural China, informal credit was sometimes court enforced. However, it was more often self-enforcing, especially in remote areas. With a positive–interest rate loan, the borrower would pay principal and interest. With a zero–interest rate loan, the borrower would repay the principal and provide some non-monetary resource in lieu of interest. For example, the borrower might have supplied land, labor, or draft animal services to the lender.
The table shows data from a comprehensive survey, conducted in 1936, of all households in 21 villages in what is now northeast China. It includes all loans reported as occurring during 1935. A loan involves security if and only if it involves a written (as opposed to a verbal) contract, the presence of a third-party guarantor, or collateral. Loans of fixed duration involve a well-defined repayment period.image.png
For the loans presented in the table, the graph shows the relationship between the average (arithmetic mean) annual interest rate by village and the percent of loan contracts that were negotiated at zero interest.image.png

If one of the loans in the survey is considered at random, with no prior knowledge of the village in which it was issued, which of the following factors would, if known, increase the probability that the loan is a zero–interest rate loan? Select Yes for each option that applies on the basis of the given information. Otherwise, select No.
Yes No
The village’s mean annual interest rate in 1935 was greater than 45%.
The lender anticipated that the borrower would be unable to supply land, labor, or draft animal services in the future.
The village’s mean annual interest rate in 1935 was less than 20%.
正确答案: 1,2,2

参考解析

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    知识点概述
    主要考查逻辑推理中的条件与结论关系,根据给定的贷款类型(正利率贷款和零利率贷款)及其相关特征,判断所给因素是否能增加某贷款为零利率贷款的概率。 解析
    - 对于“1935 年村庄的年平均利率大于 45%”:文中未提及利率高低与零利率贷款概率的关联,所以不能增加是零利率贷款的概率,选No。 - 对于“贷方预计借方未来无法提供土地、劳动力或役畜服务”:零利率贷款需借方提供非货币资源(如土地、劳动力等)代替利息,若贷方预计借方无法提供,那么这笔贷款是零利率贷款的可能性降低,不能增加概率,选No。 - 对于“1935 年村庄的年平均利率小于 20%”:同样文中没有表明低利率与零利率贷款概率的联系,不能增加是零利率贷款的概率,选No。

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